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Middleton Nick wrote: ↑Fri Apr 09, 2021 8:58 pm The results continue to be kind to us.

I continue to class you as a nerd.

Return of the Chief wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 10:35 am

Middleton Nick wrote: ↑Fri Apr 09, 2021 8:58 pm The results continue to be kind to us.

I continue to class you as a nerd.

How long do we have to put up with this?

whitty1969 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 10:46 am

Return of the Chief wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 10:35 am

I continue to class you as a nerd.

How long do we have to put up with this?

You utter nerd.

Team, bottom 2 prob (points deductions excluded).

Zak wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:36 pm Team, bottom 2 prob (points deductions excluded).

Would you mind explaining what I'm looking at here? What does the figure attached to each team represent?

Yes. I sort of understand it and what it says but it’s not clear what factors have been used to calculate “probability”

MisterPleasant wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:42 pm

Zak wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:36 pm Team, bottom 2 prob (points deductions excluded).

Would you mind explaining what I'm looking at here? What does the figure attached to each team represent?

Multiply each figure by 100 and it's the percentage change of each club being in the bottom 2.

Suffolk Blue wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:26 pm Yes. I sort of understand it and what it says but it’s not clear what factors have been used to calculate “probability”

Ah, OK, so it's the probability of that team finishing in the bottom two where '1' would be absolute?

MisterPleasant wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:45 pm

Suffolk Blue wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:26 pm Yes. I sort of understand it and what it says but it’s not clear what factors have been used to calculate “probability”

Ah, OK, so it's the probability of that team finishing in the bottom two where '1' would be absolute?

Yeah but without confidence intervals and knowing the alpha, beta and standard deviation it is a pretty useless statistic except to say what we already know....we are in a much better position than Colchester, Grimsby and Southend

bigmac95 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:52 pm

MisterPleasant wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 1:45 pm
Ah, OK, so it's the probability of that team finishing in the bottom two where '1' would be absolute?

Yeah but without confidence intervals and knowing the alpha, beta and standard deviation...

I love it when you talk dirty

Following the visit of the noisy 'neighbours' today, we have potentially awkward games until season end. A win on Tuesday would be a real statement.

Latest Odds after this weekends fixtures
Grimsby 1/14
Southend 1/8
Colchester 6/4
Barrow 25/1
Walsall 40/1

We need 10 points from 7 games And that assumes that the two teams below us win all of their games, which I doubt they will.

Edited - bottom two clubs Southend and Grimsby.

holkerboy wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:08 pm We need 10 points from 7 games And that assumes that the two teams below us win all of their games, which I doubt they will.

As Southend and Colchester have to play each other that is one game they can't both win.

SKIPPER wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:25 pm

holkerboy wrote: ↑Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:08 pm We need 10 points from 7 games And that assumes that the two teams below us win all of their games, which I doubt they will.

As Southend and Colchester have to play each other that is one game they can't both win.

Sorry - meant to say the bottom two - Southend and Grimsby.