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Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 6:17 pm
by Steelworks End
No-one expected Leicester City to win the Premier League four seasons ago. But they did.
No-one expected Barrow to win the National League this season. But we can do it.
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:25 pm
by McMark
With a fair wind and a following sea we may reach our destination wherever that may be, or that’s sort of how the saying goes!
The waters have been a little choppy of late in that we have been unlucky on the injury side but the crew remain committed and battle on relentlessly. We have found a new anchorman to help out and steady the ship, so hopefully the waters will calm somewhat.
Now it’s up to the following sea of supporters to play their part through November and the bleakest months to come. Then who knows as the weather abates where we end up, this is a voyage of discovery for many. Perhaps new shores to come for quite a few of us.
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 9:39 pm
by paddy71
Had a look in corals today.We,re 4-1 favorites to win the league and solihull are 2nd at 16-5.No mention of Fylde,then again fyldes gone quiet on here
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 10:18 pm
by Leo
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 9:39 pm
Had a look in corals today.We,re 4-1 favorites to win the league and solihull are 2nd at 16-5.No mention of Fylde,then again fyldes gone quiet on here
Pretty sure them odds make Solihull favourite
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:07 pm
by paddy71
Leo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 10:18 pm
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 9:39 pm
Had a look in corals today.We,re 4-1 favorites to win the league and solihull are 2nd at 16-5.No mention of Fylde,then again fyldes gone quiet on here
Pretty sure them odds make Solihull favourite
pretty sure your wrong.£5 on barrow pays£25 and £5 on solihull pays£26.i,m no mathematician but that makes us favorites

Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:12 pm
by plynie
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:07 pm
Leo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 10:18 pm
Pretty sure them odds make Solihull favourite
pretty sure your wrong.£5 on barrow pays£25 and £5 on solihull pays£26.i,m no mathematician but that makes us favorites
A £5 bet at 16/5 would return £21
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:21 pm
by Suffolk Blue
It remains very open. A couple of poor results before xmas and our odds will lengthen quite a bit. Punters will continue to pile into Solihull, Yeovil and Notts County because they are seen as having greater resources to last the season. Personally I think Solihull probably should be the marginal favourites as they have a good squad that goes deep, a fine manager and probably money to strengthen. They also finished second last year. Neither Yeovil nor Countys managers have been tested in this league before. There's also usually a gate crasher from lower down and given the lack of significant quality between many of the sides there could be a bit of shifting around beyond the new year.
Lets not become victims of our own hype. Maintaining a position in the play-off places remains the priority once we get to 50 points. Dont even look at the table seriously until we've hit 30 games.
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:22 pm
by Arvo
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:07 pmpretty sure your wrong.£5 on barrow pays£25 and £5 on solihull pays£26.i,m no mathematician but that makes us favorites
16–5 is the same as 3.2–1, so that's shorter odds than 4–1, so that actually would make Solihull the favourites currently.
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:33 pm
by paddy71
plynie wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:12 pm
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:07 pm
pretty sure your wrong.£5 on barrow pays£25 and £5 on solihull pays£26.i,m no mathematician but that makes us favorites
A £5 bet at 16/5 would return £21
add on your £5 stake =£26 £5 on 4-1 add on your stake=£25.at those odds we,re the favorites.its not rocket science

Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:36 pm
by paddy71
Arvo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:22 pm
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:07 pmpretty sure your wrong.£5 on barrow pays£25 and £5 on solihull pays£26.i,m no mathematician but that makes us favorites
16–5 is the same as 3.2–1, so that's shorter odds than 4–1, so that actually would make Solihull the favourites currently.
16-5 is just over 4-1.wish i didnt bother

Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:38 pm
by plynie
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Wed Nov 20, 2019 12:18 am
by Arvo
OK, there's nothing on TV (there never is) so let's do this…
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:33 pm
plynie wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:12 pmA £5 bet at 16/5 would return £21
add on your £5 stake =£26 £5 on 4-1 add on your stake=£25.at those odds we,re the favorites.its not rocket science

No, a £5 stake at 16-5 would win you £16. In fact it says as much in the odds! The return of the £5 stake is what makes the £21.
4-1 is the same as 20-5 (multiply both the 4 & 1 by 5), so a fiver would win you £20, plus the return of your £5 stake = £25.
So…
– bet £5 on Solihull to win the league at 16-5, and they do, you get back £21.
– bet £5 on Barrow to win the league at 4-1, and we do, you get back £25.
- and for absolute clarity, let's say Chorley are currently 100-1 to win the league. That's effectively 500-5, so bet £5 on them to win the league at those odds, and they do, you get back £505 ((100 x 5) + 5).
So, based on that breakdown, who are the current favourites?
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Wed Nov 20, 2019 12:27 am
by Leo
Arvo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 20, 2019 12:18 am
OK, there's nothing on TV (there never is) so let's do this…
paddy71 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:33 pm
add on your £5 stake =£26 £5 on 4-1 add on your stake=£25.at those odds we,re the favorites.its not rocket science

No, a £5 stake at 16-5 would win you £16. In fact it says as much in the odds! The return of the £5 stake is what makes the £21.
4-1 is the same as 20-5 (multiply both the 4 & 1 by 5), so a fiver would win you £20, plus the return of your £5 stake = £25.
So…
– bet £5 on Solihull to win the league at 16-5, and they do, you get back £21.
– bet £5 on Barrow to win the league at 4-1, and we do, you get back £25.
- and for absolute clarity, let's say Chorley are currently 100-1 to win the league. That's effectively 500-5, so bet £5 on them to win the league at those odds, and they do, you get back £505 ((100 x 5) + 5).
So, based on that breakdown, who are the current favourites?
Surely paddy is on the wind up. He can't be that dense
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Wed Nov 20, 2019 10:15 am
by paddy71
apologies,we,re 2nd favorites.i,d had quite a few and confused myself.Embarrased,for being thick
Re: Prediction for the season
Posted: Wed Nov 20, 2019 10:30 am
by Arvo
paddy71 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 20, 2019 10:15 amapologies,we,re 2nd favorites.i,d had quite a few and confused myself.Embarrased,for being thick
No problem, paddy. Happens to us all. That was a rare moment for me. As Mrs Arvo will tell you "being wrong" is my default setting.