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Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:10 pm
by olbarrafancumbak
Ok ok I know there is a long way to go but when things like this pop up I do have a read and sometimes it's worth sharing!!
So the supercomputer has predicted we will finish in 90pts
however it's a fourth place finish..
But it's just nice to see us being thought of and looked at differently and seen as genuine contenders is something I never thought I would see.. for me, it put a smile on my face as it should all of you.
https://www.chad.co.uk/sport/football/s ... ry-4193987
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:37 pm
by saltcellar
Interesting that.
We presently are averaging 1.81 points per game.
The supercomputer thinks we will average 2.16 points a game for our remaining 19 games.
Hope it's right.
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:38 pm
by olbarrafancumbak
saltcellar wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:37 pm
Interesting that.
We presently are averaging 1.81 points per game.
The supercomputer thinks we will average 2.16 points a game for our remaining 19 games.
Hope it's right.
Would be fantastic for sure but for now, it's an interesting bit of fun.
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:58 pm
by artxanda
I don’t often post but I am a main stand season ticket holder who is based in London and am also a teacher of Mathematics. And, for my sins, I am one of the two people who developed this ‘football super-computer’ (the other guy is a computing teacher who runs a football website - I can just about turn a computer on). For those who care, the individual results and resulting league table are worked out using previous home and away results to that point, goals scored and conceded at home and away to that point and a piece of mathematics called the Poisson distribution which predicts outcomes for events that happen at a defined rate (for example, if telephone calls arrive at a switchboard at a rate of 5 calls every minute, what is the probability of there being 7 calls in the next two minutes?)
It tends to get noticed whenever it predicts something people wouldn’t expect (for example, it went all over the papers when I think it was having Brentford to finish above Manchester United in the table).
Anyway, I’ve bored all my classes to tears today and now I’ve probably bored you all to tears as well - I sincerely hope that it is right, as well. Fingers crossed….
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 7:16 pm
by olbarrafancumbak
artxanda wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:58 pm
I don’t often post but I am a main stand season ticket holder who is based in London and am also a teacher of Mathematics. And, for my sins, I am one of the two people who developed this ‘football super-computer’ (the other guy is a computing teacher who runs a football website - I can just about turn a computer on). For those who care, the individual results and resulting league table are worked out using previous home and away results to that point, goals scored and conceded at home and away to that point and a piece of mathematics called the Poisson distribution which predicts outcomes for events that happen at a defined rate (for example, if telephone calls arrive at a switchboard at a rate of 5 calls every minute, what is the probability of there being 7 calls in the next two minutes?)
It tends to get noticed whenever it predicts something people wouldn’t expect (for example, it went all over the papers when I think it was having Brentford to finish above Manchester United in the table).
Anyway, I’ve bored all my classes to tears today and now I’ve probably bored you all to tears as well - I sincerely hope that it is right, as well. Fingers crossed….
Well, if your a season ticket holder in the mains stand and you created this "supercomputer" you too should be as pleased as I and probably others are to see us being there or there abouts, especially if we did get 99pts!!
I don't think I've ever seen us, other than the mid or bottom in these predictions before!
Can you predict when I am likely to win russ raffle . I've been playing for years, never even won a ball or the famous iron!!!
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 7:21 pm
by Bakewell Blue
Very interesting Artxanda. Not sure I understood it all, but I guess it presupposes that recent form will be roughly similar to future form - as we know, that doesn’t always happen! Let’s do it on the field and prove it right. Given the strength of teams around us, a fourth place finish would be very good. Our next two matches, against teams close to us, are really important. On another statistical note, we are 30 points above 23rd place with 19/20 games to go - probably OK to say we are safe from relegation!
Re: Super computer
Posted: Mon Jan 15, 2024 7:35 pm
by artxanda
Unfortunately for the Poisson distribution to be valid, the defined rate of something happening has to be greater than zero….
Good luck in the next raffle, anyway - maybe a case of “computer says ‘have a go’….”
But you are right - what a pleasure it has been watching this team put in the hard yards every single week, no matter what the outcome - knowing the game is happening the next day gets me through many a weary Friday afternoon.
And Bakewell Blue - yes, I think it would take a serious malfunction for the super-computer or reality to be considering relegation!
Re: Super computer
Posted: Tue Jan 16, 2024 1:25 am
by Gazza
If we do end up with 90pts then trust me, we’ll be in the top 3!
Re: Super computer
Posted: Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:03 am
by HenneysKnee
Not even sure Bradford fans would think they’ll finish top 7
Re: Super computer
Posted: Tue Jan 16, 2024 8:27 am
by Wintergreen
HenneysKnee wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 7:03 am
Not even sure Bradford fans would think they’ll finish top 7
Computer says no (cough)
Re: Super computer
Posted: Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:32 am
by GTBLUE
The Post Office have a "super computer " and look at what's happened with that !
however it's a fourth place finish..